Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 7.682962 9.079406 10.618256 12.434453 14.513708 16.813938 19.545190
2025-02-02 5.828968 7.688324 9.930862 12.812140 16.390857 20.662937 26.119012
2025-02-09 4.733461 6.842831 9.582953 13.352002 18.342505 24.658220 33.179117
2025-02-16 3.789042 5.948334 8.944380 13.317419 19.432495 27.559970 39.033358
2025-02-23 2.991771 5.075260 8.148586 12.883985 19.838058 29.489419 43.662916
2025-03-02 2.368236 4.326207 7.386161 12.344039 19.958170 30.946244 47.661015
2025-03-09 2.000361 3.905460 7.039599 12.346092 20.816710 33.454590 53.258995
2025-03-16 1.714126 3.564804 6.759921 12.394960 21.714144 36.043969 59.107447
2025-03-23 1.467939 3.247066 6.465357 12.366735 22.457958 38.418711 64.750919
2025-03-30 1.200297 2.835257 5.941785 11.873812 22.372056 39.460483 68.367362
2025-04-06 1.039994 2.605765 5.713662 11.863181 23.075929 41.784144 74.114611
2025-04-13 0.896791 2.383432 5.464743 11.777780 23.626567 43.871602 79.579534
2025-04-20 0.842052 2.352231 5.597767 12.441954 25.596444 48.512192 89.604903
2025-04-27 0.777534 2.286282 5.650871 12.956242 27.335749 52.873988 99.426641
2025-05-04 0.725428 2.240224 5.738788 13.546138 29.258785 57.668188 110.243001
2025-05-11 0.634363 2.075164 5.541449 13.525224 30.006398 60.417224 117.665796
2025-05-18 0.529945 1.849289 5.170471 13.090247 29.897589 61.598744 122.381817
2025-05-25 0.435931 1.627915 4.772853 12.544113 29.505914 62.214405 126.093079
2025-06-01 0.383828 1.517717 4.629043 12.546609 30.229570 64.947892 133.767746
2025-06-08 0.340519 1.424022 4.512313 12.596293 31.050782 67.906834 141.995950
2025-06-15 0.299455 1.326661 4.370245 12.567713 31.696873 70.555065 149.763686
2025-06-22 0.247158 1.174204 4.051569 12.067854 31.263559 71.038713 153.438929
2025-06-29 0.218028 1.097716 3.934249 12.057077 31.917341 73.729700 161.475887